Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MDT 09/29/07 Tropical Depression 14E (magenta arrow) has formed well to our south. The system is expected to become Tropical Storm Juliette later today as the storm wanders harmlessly off into the Pacific. We have two tropical waves on our map (orange arrows) One is too far west to concern us and the second is just entering the basin. The eastern wave is broad and we will be keeping an eye on it as it moves west and interacts with mainland coastal thunderstorms (yellow arrow) mid next week.. Baja California will begin the day with some clouds associated with a Low moving east in the SW US. Baja Sur should enjoy clear skies and slightly cooler temps today.

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

00PM MDT 09/26/07 The Baja peninsula will enjoy clear skies and seasonal temperatures today. There will be a chance of afternoon thunderstorms in Baja Sur and along the costal Sea areas. Down south we have two tropical waves (orange arrows) There is a new area of thunderstorms ahead of the second wave (magenta arrow) south of Manzanillo, but forecasts are not calling for development at this time.

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09PM MDT 09/22/07 Tropical Depression Ivo (red arrow) is running out of steam as it moves slowly closer to the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur. Landfall is expected late tonight and the system is forecast to move across the tip of Baja Sur and into the Sea of Cortez on Tuesday. Rainfall accumulations of 1-2" are expected. There will be an increased probability of afternoon thunderstorms. Baja California will enjoy clear skies and have little hint of the storm passing through Baja Sur. We have two tropical waves on our map (orange arrows) but development is not anticipated. We currently have mostly sunny skies in La Paz

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09PM MDT 09/22/07 Tropical Storm Ivo (red arrow) continues to lose intensity as it moves closer to the Baja Sur Pacific coast. Now just 160 miles WSW of Cabo San Lucas, the storm is expected to make landfall near Todos Santos late Sunday and move across the peninsula during the day Monday. It is unclear whether the storm will maintain tropical cyclone status or be just a tropical depression when making landfall. A Low (blue arrow) off California as helped to guide Ivo to the NE. We have one tropical wave (orange arrow) on the map, but little likelihood of additional cyclonic development.

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MDT 09/22/07 Tropical Storm Ivo (red arrow) is slowly losing intensity as it moves toward the SW Pacific shores of Baja California Sur. Ivo is expected to diminish to a tropical depression before making landfall somewhere near Todos Santo Monday The Low (blue arrow) that helped to drag Ivo NE is now dissipating near Southern California. We have one additional tropical wave on our map (orange arrow) but little moisture in the ITCZ to stimulate.

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09PM MDT 09/21/07 Tropical Storm Ivo (red arrow) is slowly turning toward Baja California Sur and is now about 267 miles SW of Cabo San Lucas. Ivo is expected to make landfall in Baja Sur late Sunday or Early Monday. Ivo has entered cooler waters and will continue to degrade over the next several days. Ivo is expected to be reduced to a depression when it passes through La Paz mid day Monday. Those in Baja Sur should expect periods of rain becoming heavy at times beginning as early as Saturday. Spin-off moisture is already causing cloudiness that thins as you move north that is being circulated by a Low (blue arrow) off the California Coast. There is one additional tropical wave on our map, finding little moisture to stimulate at this time.

Hurricane Ivo Heads for Baja California Sur

Information on Hurricane Ivo direct from Baja California Sur

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IVO.

09PM MDT 09/20/07 Hurricane Ivo sis moving toward a rendezvous with Baja California Sur early next week. Hurricane Ivo is currently some 361 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas. The current estimated position is 18.8N 113.4W and movement is 350° at 8kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 981Mb and winds are 70kts with gusts to 85kts. Hurricane Ivo is now forecast to remain about the same intensity through Friday, then begin got diminish before making landfall in Baja Sur late Sunday night or early Monday. Tropical storm force winds extend out as much as 75 miles and hurricane force winds only 15 miles from the eye.

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The 09PM forecast calls for Hurricane Ivo to move north to northeasterly over the next few days long the 27C thermo cline. this water is just warm enough to support tropical cyclonic activity and this is why the forecasters believe the Ivo may be near it's peak.

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09PM MDT 09/20/07 Hurricane Ivo (red arrow) is slowly turning toward Baja California Sur as a Category 1 Hurricane. Hurricane Ivo is expected to move along the 27C thermo cline and make landfall as a tropical storm on the Pacific Coast of Baja Sur late Sunday or early Monday. Cloud cover has already moved into Cabo San Lucas and rain may begin as early as tomorrow evening with the spin-off from Ivo. Baja California (norte) will continue to enjoy clear skies and seasonable temperatures through the weekend. We will be keeping a close eye on Ivo as it nears the Baja Sur coastline.

Hurricane Ivo Heads for Baja California Sur

Information on Hurricane Ivo direct from Baja California Sur

09AM MDT 09/20/07 Ivo continues to strengthen and is now a Hurricane Category 1 status some 440 miles south southwest of Cabo San Lucas. The current estimated position is 17.1N 112.8 and movement is 330° at 6kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 987Mb and winds are 65kts with gusts to 80kts. Hurricane Ivo is now forecast to continue strengthening through Friday, then begin got diminish before making landfall in Baja Sur Monday morning. Tropical storm force winds extend out as much as 60 miles and hurricane force winds only 15 miles from the eye.

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The 9AM forecast calls for the storm to intensify, accelerated and curved it back slightly to the north. The outside end of a five day forecast now calls for a tropical storm to pass just north of La Paz sometime late Monday or early Tuesday. Cabo San Lucas may begin seeing cloud cover from spin-off of Hurricane Ivo later today.

As with Hurricane Henriette this may prove far more the blessing than the threat. If current forecasts hold true a more subdued storm will bring additional rain early next week.

Hurricane Ivo is forecast continue turning to the north  today and bend further around to the NE on Friday. The lower 1/2 of Baja Sur now falls within the five day forecast cone of possibility. By turning to the NE sooner than originally forecast, Ivo will intensify to hurricane strength sooner and remain over warmer water longer. Ivo could still be a hurricane when making landfall in Baja Sur and will certainly have opportunity to regain strength as it move toward the mainland over +28°C waters.

Ivo became a hurricane in the 9PM report from the NHC on 09/19. Tropical Storm Ivo evolved from TD12E in the 9PM release from the National Hurricane Center in 9/18. Tropical Depression 12E formed about 670 miles south by southeast of Cabo San Lucas and was declared a tropical depression at 11AM on 09/18/07..

We will continue to monitor the progress of this system over the next few days. The best we could hope for is for the system to weaken to a depression before making landfall in Baja Sur and deliver more much needed rain.

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MDT 09/20/07  Hurricane Ivo (red arrow) has begun turning to the NNW and maintained intensity through the night. Ivo is expected to continue to strengthen through Friday night. A Low (blue arrow) moving south along the California coast will help to turn Ivo more to the NE over the weekend. Landfall of Ivo is expected somewhere along the SW Pacific coast of Baja. Ivo is currently forecast to be a tropical storm when arriving in Baja California Sur. The is one additional tropical wave on our map and some thunderstorms south of the Tehuantepec that we will have to watch later this weekend as well. Baja Sur will have increasing clouds in the SW areas while the rest of the Baja peninsula will have clear skies and seasonal temps.
 

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

03PM MDT 09/19/07  While Tropical Storm Ivo (red arrow) is just shy of hurricane intensity as it churns toward Baja Cailfornia Sur. Tropical Storm Ivo  is about 535 miles south by southwest of Cabo San Lucas moving NW. Forecasts currently call for landfall near Cabo San Lucas on Monday morning. There is one new tropical wave entering our map (orange arrow) and some thunderstorms in the Tehuantepec that could be a factor in 24-48 hours. Baja will enjoy bright sunny afternoon skies and seasonal temperatures.
 

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

03PM MDT 09/18/07  Baja will enjoy another late summer evening of clear skies, warm temps and perhaps a little drier. Down south we now have Tropical Depression 12E (red arrow) The system is expected to become a tropical storm as early as later tonight as it heads NW. We will have to keep an eye on this one as it is expected to button-hook and head back toward Baja on over the weekend as a Depression. This is early in this storms genesis, so it's hard to forecast too far in advance. There are three tropical waves (orange arrows) on our map the western most moving out of our basin, the middle stimulating TD12E and the eastern most just entering our map.
 

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

11AM MDT 09/18/07  Baja will enjoy another late summer day of clear skies, warm temps and perhaps a little drier. Down south we now have Tropical Depression 12E (magenta arrow) The system is expected to become a tropical storm tomorrow as it heads NW. we will have to keep an eye on this one as it is expected to button-hook and head back toward Baja on Saturday as a Depression. This is early in this storms genesis, so it's hard to forecast too far in advance. Another system (yellow arrow) is causing a broad band of thunderstorms but is not expected to develop further.
 

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MDT 09/17/07  A beautiful late summer day for all of the Baja peninsula today. There will be a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms in the south. In the ITCZ we have two tropical waves (orange arrows) the western most (yellow arrow) has unorganized thunderstorms and is not expected to develop. The more eastern wave (magenta arrow) is sowing increasing organization and environmental conditions are positive for further development as this system moves WNW. In about 36hrs this system will pass beyond the threat window to Baja Sur.
 

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

06PM MDT 09/16/07  The Dia de la Independencia (Sept 16) weekend is wrapping up. Lots of fiestas around Mexico and a grand celebration here in La Paz last night. Baja will enjoy mostly clear skies top to bottom today but there are a few thunderstorms (green arrow) popping up along the mainland that may drift west over the evening hours. Down south there are two tropical waves (orange arrow) both stimulating broad areas of Low pressure. The western most is showing limited signs of development (yellow arrow) while the eastern more of the two (magenta arrow) has some potential for development as it moves WNW over the next several days.
 

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

10AM MDT 09/14/07  This weekend is Dia de la Independencia (Sept 16) and many businesses, federal and state offices and banks will be on different schedules from mid day today until Tuesday. Parades, dances and other fiesta events will be held throughout the weekend. This is one of Mexico's grandest holidays. Baja will have clear skies today top to bottom Down south we have a Low that is dissipating and some of the stray clouds may float over Baja Sur this afternoon. There are two tropical waves on our map (orange arrows) the western most is stimulating an area of thunderstorms and has some potential for development, but it is too far south and west to be of much concern to us. The other wave is stimulating an area of thunderstorms south of Guatemala. The NHC gives this a marginal chance of development, but we will be keeping an eye on it through the weekend.
 

   Weather  in Baja California – September 13, 2007

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

12PM MDT 09/13/07  There is a thermal Low over the Sea of Cortez (blue arrow) that may sweep thunderstorms from the mainland west this evening of parts of Baja Sur. There is another thermal Low over mainland Mexico (yellow arrow) we have one Tropical Wave on our map (orange arrow) that is stimulating some thunderstorms (magenta arrow) that has some potential for development. Another Low (green arrow) has some potential for development, but both systems pose little threat to Baja Sur. The area to watch is near the southern coast of mainland Mexico (red arrow) This is where many of our later season storms are formed. A tropical wave will move through this area in the next 48-72hrs. We ill be keeping an eye on this area of disturbed weather.
 

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

10AM MDT 09/11/07  We have a new SST underlay today and the 26°C thermo cline has migrated north to near it's maximum, near Turtle Bay on the Pacific side. Our weather map is quiet today, with just two tropical waves (orange arrows) on our map. The western wave is stimulating some thunderstorms (green arrow) and has some potential for development, but is too far west already to concern Baja. A tropical Low (yellow arrow) is dissipating and is not likely to be stimulated by the eastern most wave. Baja Sur will have partly cloudy skies and potential for afternoon thunderstorms. We have already had some light drizzle in La Paz this morning. The deserts, just one week after Henriette is already turning very green!
 

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MDT 09/10/07  A High (blue arrow) about 400 miles west of the Cedros Islands will bring down our humidity, provide cooler evenings and perhaps slightly lower than seasonal highs throughout Baja today. A Trof (magenta arrow) is moving west around the High but should have little effect on our weather. We have two tropical waves on our map (orange arrows) and only some scattered thunderstorms (green arrow) near the Mainland coast. A Low (yellow arrow) is stirring up some thunderstorms a little further west, this system may develop further when the next tropical wave catches up with it. However, by that point it should be too far west to concern us. The NHC doesn't currently predict any tropical cyclone formation in the next 72hrs.
 

   Baja California Weather Outlook

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

10AM MDT 09/08/07  Life is almost back to normal in Baja Sur following the passage of Henriette. The remains of Hurricane Felix (magenta arrow) now just a Low, is stirring up some thunderstorms and the system may regenerate some, but winds above 25-30kts are not expected. The system is moving NE and may bring rain to East Cape and northward, into the Sea in the next 24hrs. A High (blue arrow) has developed west of central Baja and will keep our skies clear and dry outside the threat of rain from the Low. There are three tropical waves on the map, but none are forecast to develop further.
 

   Weather  in Baja California & Almost Back to Normal After Henriette

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MDT 09/07/07  A bright sunny day from north to south in Baja today as many of us do the final tidying up following Henriette. Hwy 1 is open north to south with minor problems - see Baja Road Report. There is a new 1016mb High (blue arrow) west of west of the Cedros Islands. There are three tropical waves on our map (orange arrows) but there is only one area of disturbed weather, (yellow arrow) the remnants of Hurricane Felix, that offer any chance of development, and the NHC is calling that unlikely. Enjoy a beautiful day through most of Baja as most places complete the mop-up following the passage of Henriette. We will post additional video from San Jose del Cabo and La Paz later today.

Contrary to major press reports, we're all doing just fine here in Baja Sur. We have a little mopping up to do, but we are certainly not "devastated" by a little weather, as CNN & Fox might lead you to believe. Click here for more facts about Henriette... Or click here to read the Baja Blog and on the scene reports from our readers.
 

Hurricane Henriette

09AM MDT 09/04/07 Henriette has achieved Category 1 Hurricane status and is delivering heavy rain and winds to Cabo San Lucas. Henriette is  preparing to cut a swath across Baja California Sur and up the Sea of Cortez, affecting a majority of the population of Baja Sur. Hurricane Henriette is currently located near 22.2N 109.4W about 56 miles southeast of Cabo San Lucas and 139 miles southeast of La Paz. Movement is 335° at 09kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 972Mb and winds are 75kts with gusts to 90kts.Hurricane fore winds extend out 25 miles and Tropical Storm force winds extend out 140 miles. The current forecast calls for Henriette to make landfall directly on Cabo San Lucas and move directly north passing through La Paz and into the Sea of Cortez.
 

AT 9AM MDT... HENRIETTE STRENGTHENS AS IT APPROACHES THE BAJA PENINSULA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 9AM MDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO MULEGE.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA NORTHWARD TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO.

AT 9AM MDT  THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO...AND EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM GUYAMAS NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FOR ALTATA NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

   Baja California & Weather Summary & Hurricane Henriette

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MDT 09/04/07  Hurricane Henriette (red arrow) is just 50 miles away from Cabo San Lucas. Hurricane Warning exist for Baja Sur from Mag Bay to Loreto including Los Cabos. Hurricane force winds may be expected in the southern most reaches of Baja very shortly. Hurricane preparations elsewhere in Baja Sur should be rushed to completion. Henriette is expected to enter the Sea of Cortez through the Bahia de La Paz and make landfall again on the Mexican mainland. We have two tropical waves on our map (orange arrows) but there is little left in our basin following the passage of Henriette. Cat 4 Hurricane Felix (magenta arrow) can be seen on the east edge of the map.

Look on the bright side folks! We need the rain, the desert will be just beautiful in about 2 weeks and the day after a hurricane is almost always a bright beautiful day. This storm is a quick mover - hopefully it will be over before you know it! Stay sane and stay safe!

Hurricane Henriette

Information on Hurricane Henriette

HENRIETTE ACHIEVES HURRICANE STATUS TAKES AIM AND CABO SAN LUCAS AND LA PAZ...

Information on Tropical Storm Henriette
(Next Update after 03AM MDT)

04AM MDT 09/04/07 Henriette has achieved Category 1 Hurricane status as it takes aim at Cabo San Lucas, preparing to cut a swath across Baja California Sur. Hurricane Henriette is currently located near 21.4N 109.1W about 151 miles southeast by south of Cabo San Lucas. Movement is 330° at 07kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 978Mb and winds are 65kts with gusts to 80kts.Hurricane fore winds extend out 20 miles and Tropical Storm force winds extend out 120 miles. The current forecast calls for Henriette to make landfall directly on Cabo San Lucas and move directly north passing through La Paz and into the Sea of Cortez.

AT 3AM MDT 09/04/07 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST... AND FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

AT 3AM MDT THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA NORTHWARD TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO ON THE WEST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA NORTHWARD TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO.

AT 3AM MDT THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM LORETO NORTHWARD TO MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST.

AT 3AM MDT THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA NORTHWARD TO GUAYMAS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 

   Baja California & Weather Summary & Hurricane Henriette

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

03AM MDT 09/04/07  Hurricane Henriette (red arrow) has finally achieve Category 1 Hurricane Strength as it moves toward landfall in Baja California Sur. Hurricane Henriette is about 115 miles SSE of Cabo San Lucas. Tropical Storm force winds should arrive about daybreak along the southern most coastal areas of Baja Sur. Henriette is now forecast to be a Category 1 Hurricane as it makes landfall very close to Cabo San Lucas and still be a hurricane when it passes through La Paz early Wednesday. Preparations for Hurricane force wind and riand should be rush to completion through out the warning areas. We now see Hurricane Feleix (magenta arrow) on our map in the Caribbean.

Tropical Storm Henriette

Information on Tropical Storm Henriette

HENRIETTE NOT QUITE A HURRICANE...

03PM MDT 09/03/07 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST AND FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO ON THE WEST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE  INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

Information on Tropical Storm Henriette
(Next Update after 5PM MDT)

03PM MDT 09/03/07 Tropical Storm Henriette still hangs just short of hurricane status as it moves toward Baa California Sur. TS Henriette is currently located near 20.1N 108.5W about 212 miles southeast by south of Cabo San Lucas. Movement is 315° at 05kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 981 and winds are 60kts with gusts to 75kts. Tropical Storm force winds extend out 85 miles. TS Henriette is forecast to become a hurricane sometime today. Tropical Storm Henriette is now forecast to only achieve Category 1 status before making landfall forecast for the Pacific coast of Baja Sur late Tuesday.

   Baja California & Weather Summary & Tropical Storm Henriette

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

03PM MDT 09/03/07  Tropical Storm Henriette (red arrow) has slowed again this afternoon as it moves toward Baja Sur. Hurricane Warnings and watches are in effect for parts of Baja California Sur. Landfall is currently forecast to occur between Todos Santos and Magdalena Bay late Tuesday. The storm is then forecast to traverse Baja Sur and enter the Sea of Cortez south of Loreto. This will put the most powerful NE quadrant over Cabo San Lucas north to the point of landfall with effects being felt late Monday. We invite you to post and read real time weather reports from our readers around Baja Sur on the Baja Blog.

Tropical Storm Henriette

Information on Tropical Storm Henriette

AT 9PM MDT 09/02/07...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

Information on Tropical Storm Henriette
(Next Update after 3AM MDT)

09PM MDT 09/02/07 Tropical Storm Henriette remains just short of Category 1 Hurricane strength and has slowed to 1/2 of yesterdays forward speed. TS Henriette is currently located near 18.9N 107.0W about 332 miles southeast of Cabo San Lucas. Movement is 305° at 04kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 994 and winds are 60kts with gusts to 75kts. Tropical Storm force winds extend out 85 miles. TS Henriette is forecast to become a hurricane in the next 24hrs. Tropical Storm Henriette is now forecast to achieve Category 2 status before making landfall forecast for the Pacific coast of Baja Sur late Tuesday.

   Baja California & Weather Summary & Tropical Storm Henriette

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

 Tropical Storm Henriette (red arrow) has pretty much maintained it's status throughout the day today. The storm is forecast to accelerate and turn more to the north, then northeast. The 9PM forecast track puts the storm ashore near Todos Santos, BCS as a Category 2 hurricane and crossing the peninsula, through the Bay of La Paz as a Category 1 hurricane. Although only still a Tropical Storm the system is physically large and Cabo San Lucas will begin feeling the effects early Monday.