Friday, November 30, 2007

Baja California gets Rain - Baja Sur may get Thunderstorms, winds early week

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

09AM MST 11/30/07 Today is the last day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season, although any real threat to Baja passed about 45 days ago. Today, most of Baja will experience cloudy skies and light rain as a result a a Trof (yellow arrow) and associated Low in the Pacific. Thunderstorms (red arrow) are being pushed ahead of the system and may effect Baja Sur late today or tomorrow. A moderate High will push along the Baja California Coast over the weekend and is forecast to bring northers to the Sea late Sunday early Monday. Another High off the BC coast will push SE inside a stationary front ( magenta arrow) and push a series of Lows (yellow arrow) east and reinforce our North winds early in the week.
 

 
 


Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Navigational Changes to La Paz Harbor, Baja California Sur

Changes to La Paz Navigation

The entrance to La Paz Harbor in Baja California Sur can be tricky enough. Now two new markers may make it even more challenging for first time boaters.

 
 


Beautiful Weather for Baja California Sur and Clouds for the North

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

10AM MST 11/21/07 A Low (red arrow) offshore from Ensenada is anchoring a cold front (yellow arrow) pushing south near the CA/AZ border and bringing mostly cloudy skies to Baja California and partly as a result there is a marine layer/fog covering most of the west coast of the Baja peninsula this morning. This should burn off quickly except near San Ignacio and San Quintin. Two Highs (blue arrow) over mainland Mexico should keep Baja Sur clear and dry today with winds light from the west to WSW, unusual for this time of year. Up north, a High (magenta arrow) is being pushed south ahead of a Pacific winter storm that will affect the PacNW late in the weekend. This may also set up a condition for northers to return to the Sea as well. Down south, we have two late season tropical waves (orange arrows) that are unlikely to find any warm unstable air to generate tropical cyclones this late in the Season,
 

 
 


Tuesday, November 20, 2007

Revolution Day in Mexico - Beautiful weather in Baja California Sur

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

11AM MST 11/20/07 Today is the actual Dia de la Revolucion which was celebrated yesterday.

A Low (red arrow) over SoCal is buffering the usual north winds that occur when a High (yellow arrow) is near the 4 Corners area of the US. A High (blue arrow) is over central Mexico and is keeping most of NW Mexico cool and dry. Temps in Baja California will be in the upper 70's while Baja Sur will be in the mid 80's. Fog will burn off by midday in Central Baja while an early marine layer in Baja Sur has already evaporated. A High (magenta arrow) will be pushed into WA/OR and will move toward the 4 Corners area and could bring us some north winds by late in the week. Forecasts for the next 72hrs call for light winds in the Sea from the west to SW and seas in the crossing to be under 3'.

 

 
 


Monday, November 19, 2007

Baja California Weather - Sunny & Coastal Fog

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

09AM MST 11/19/07 Happy Revolution Day in Mexico, Dia de la Revolution celebrates the began with the call to arms made on November 20, 1910 by Francisco I. Madero. Government offices, banks and many businesses will be closed today. A High (blue arrow) over the mainland is keeping most of northern Mexico, including Baja, clear and dry. Baja Sur will be sunny with highs in the low 80°s while Baja California will have coastal fog which will stretch south into the central valley and San Ignacio. There is a tropical wave on our map (orange arrow) which will have a very slight chance of stimulating thunderstorms, but with 11 days left in the Eastern Pacific Hurricane season, cyclonic formation is unlikely and affects on Baja are improbable. Up north a weak High (yellow arrow) is moving east from the 4 Corners area and a series of Lows (magenta arrow) will move SE bringing snow to the 4 corners area and perhaps some light SW winds to Baja in the next 72hrs. Winds are currently forecast to be light, under 15kts throughout the Sea from the NW to WNW through the period. On the Pacific side winds may top 15kts from the NNW. The crossing should be light with seas under 3'.

 
 


Sunday, November 18, 2007

Clear skies and wonderful Fall weather for the Baja California Peninsula

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

09AM MST 11/18/07 A quiet map for all of Baja, where we will be enjoying great fall weather north to south. Early morning clouds and fog may persist through midday south of San Quintin through Guerrero Negro and in the costal TJ/Ensenada area. The High (blue arrow) over central Mexico is offsetting the Low (red arrow) near Cabo Corrientes keeping winds in the Sea light through the 72hrs forecast period. On the Pacific side however, winds may peak near 20kts from the NW tomorrow. Winds and waves in the crossing are forecast to be light under 15kts and under 3' through the forecast periods.

Monday is Dia de La Revolucion in Mexico and all banks, state and federal offices as well as many businesses will be closed Monday.

 
 


Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Baja Sur may get Tropical Rain while Baja Sur may get Winter Rain.

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

10AM MST 11/14/07 The Baja peninsula has busy weather to the north and south of us, but for most of Baja it will be a overcast fall day. A Trof extends from the Sea of Cortez to a High (magenta arrows) near the CA/AZ border. It is anchoring a stationary front (lt blue arrow) that is shifting SE bound Highs (blue arrow) to a more easterly course. This is all being pushed east by a winter storm Low (red arrow) which should keep the stronger NW winds limited to the upper Sea, Winds are forecast to be light, from the NW in the Sea, but yesterday the forecast called for less than 10kts and la Paz experienced +15kt northers. There is a stationary High over central Mexico (blue arrow) and a late season tropical wave (orange arrow) moving into our basin, but it will find little tropical moisture to stimulate.

A Low (yellow arrow) off the Baja Sur coast will pump tropical moisture into Baja Sur and forecasts call for a chance of afternoon thunderstorms


 

 
 


Tuesday, November 13, 2007

Baja 1000 Starts in sloppy conditions as clouds break in Baja California Weather

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

09AM MST 11/13/07 We used up all the arrows today, with lots happening on our weather maps. A weak Low (yellow arrow) brought some wet conditions to the start of the Baja 1000 in Baja California and will provide overcast conditions for much of the central and later today, southern parts of the peninsula. Additional precipitation is not expected. A Trof (magenta arrow) runs the length of The Sea held in place by two Highs (blue arrow) over the mainland. Up north a moderate High (lt blue arrow) will be pushed ESE by an approaching cold front (red arrow) and will bring winds 15-20kts in the northern Sea from the NW. Wave heights to 4' in the northern Sea while things will be much calmer in the southern Sea, winds forecast to be under 15kts through the period and seas less than 2'.

By the way - it is Tuesday the 13ths that are rooted in superstition in Mexico


 

 
 


Sunday, November 11, 2007

Baja Weather: Cold front Pushing into Baja California - Baja Sur has Great Fall Weather

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

11AM MST 11/11/07 A very quiet southern map while there is plenty of activity in our North American weather that may effect Baja later in the week. Some clouds will move through Baja California as a weak cold front (yellow arrow) pushes through SoCal. Baja Sur will accumulate some light overcast or scattered clouds later today as fragments of the Pineapple Express float over the state. A cluster of weak Highs (blue arrow) Because of the Low over California (green arrow) and the Low over The Sea, we are buffered against the northers which usually blow when Highs meet the 4 Corners area. A beautiful day through much of Baja with temperatures in the low 70's in Baja California and upper 80's in Baja Sur.
 

 
 


Saturday, November 10, 2007

Baja California Weather Buffered from Santa Ana Winds by Low over California

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

10AM MST 11/10/07 It remains quiet fall weather over the Baja peninsula today. Baja Sur will have high thin clouds today as some Pineapple Express (yellow arrow) drifts over in the next 24-36hrs. No precipitation is forecast. Winds in The Sea are forecast to come from the NE tomorrow, then shift to the WNW then back to the NE on Monday. Forecasts for the winds to remain under 10kts. Seas in The Crossing are forecast to be 2-3' through the period. Up north, we are being insulated from the Highs (blue arrow) moving through the 4 Corners region, which usually brings us northers, by a weak Low (green arrow) over SoCal. Forecasts call for this pattern to remain through the 72hrs forecast period..


 

 
 


Thursday, November 08, 2007

Baja California Weather - A Beautiful day in Baja Sur

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

08AM MST 11/08/07 A crystal clear fall day in Baja California Sur, where temps are expected to be in the high 80's today. Baja California will also enjoy a nice day, although marine layer will keep things cloudy along the Pacific coast well into the day. A Low (yellow arrow) is stalled over SoCal as a continuous string of weak Highs (blue arrow) parade through the 4 Corners region of the US. This will provide light winds (5-15kts) from the NW to NE through the Sea. Wave heights are expected to run 3' from the central Sea south and build to 4-5' in the crossing later tomorrow. A gale (magenta arrow) is blowing in the Tehuantepec. The tropical cyclone threat to Baja passed just about a month ago and by the looks of the ITCZ there may be no further activity in the Eastern Pacific this Hurricane Season which officially ends November 30th.
 

 
 


Tuesday, November 06, 2007

Baja California has another Beautiful Fall Day

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

09AM MDT 11/06/07 Baja California will have partly cloudy skies today as a result of a Low (yellow arrow) over the CA/AZ border, A series of weak Highs (blue arrow) is being channeled by a stationary front (green arrow) and will move through the 4 Corners area of the US and bring light NE winds to the Sea over the next few days. Winds are expected to be under 15kts in the northern Sea and less in the Southern Sea. Wave height is expected to build to 3' in the southern Sea from the winds up north. Baja Sur will have partly cloudy skies as a result of a small early season chunk of Pineapple Express drifting over us today. Although humidity will rise, no precipitation is expected.

 
 


Friday, November 02, 2007

Beautiful Fall Weather for the Baja California Peninsula

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

09AM MDT 11/02/07 A pair of Lows (magenta arrow) over SE California is equalizing the pressure throughout the Sea despite a High (blue arrow) over the mainland and a pair of weak Highs (green arrow) nearing the 4 Corners area of the US. Winds may increase slightly over the weekend as a stronger High (yellow arrow) moves SE to the 4 Corners area. Current forecasts call for winds in The Sea to be under 10kts through Monday. A gale (orange arrow) is blowing in the Tehuantepec as a cold front moves across the Caribbean behind Hurricane Noel..Temperatures in Baja California should be in the 70's and temps in Baja Sur will be in the high 80's.

 
 


Thursday, November 01, 2007

Day of the Dead Part 1 - Weather for Baja California

   Weather  in Baja California

Surface Chart / Satellite IR
   

09AM MDT 11/01/07 Another late summer day for Baja Sur today as temps will again broach the 90° mark and skies will be clear and sunny. In Baja California temps will be in the mid 70's and a marine layer will extend inland from the Pacific near San Quentin for much of the day. A Trof (yellow arrow) extends south from San Francisco to the Sea and is responsible for our light NW winds. Winds in the Sea are forecast to be light, under 15kts and seas less than 3'.  A cluster of Highs (green arrow) is moving toward the 4 Corners region but are not forecast to develop into a norther for The Sea. Another stronger High (magenta arrow) will move SE from the Canadian border and will bring cooler temps to Baja California late in the weekend and a chance of increased northers.

 
 


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