Wednesday, May 30, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook - Tropical Storm Barbara

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MDT 05/30/07 Alvin (magenta arrow) has been downgraded to a Tropical Depression as it moves west. The second tropical cyclone (red arrow) has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Barbara. The storm is stationary but is expected to continue to strengthen and turn to the NW along the southern coast of Mexico. A thermal Low (orange arrow) over the mainland is expected to affect the storm. Some broken clouds and marine layer (yellow arrow) may keep skies in the central and northern parts of the peninsula cloudy early, but should burn off later in the day. The Pacific High off our map to the west (blue arrow) continues to keep the rest of Baja clear and dry.

 
 


Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Tropical Weather Outlook

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1100 AM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

 

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

 

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ALVIN...LOCATED ABOUT 765 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

 

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS NEARING TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS.  IF PRESENT TRENDS CONTINUE...

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED THIS AFTERNOON.

ALTHOUGH LITTLE MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF COASTAL MEXICO BETWEEN PUNTO MALDONADO AND SALINA CRUZ OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


Baja California Weather Outlook - Tropical Storm Alvin

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

08AM MST 05/29/07 Tropical Storm Alvin (red arrow) became the first named storm of the 2007 Hurricane Season when it was upgraded last night by the NHC. Alvin is expected to remain a Tropical Storm for the next few days as it moves harmlessly west into the Pacific. Baja will have sunny skies, after morning Pacific marine layer burns off. La Paz even has a thick layer this morning. Temperatures in the afternoon should be seasonal. Our weather will be dominated by the Pacific High (blue arrow) off our map to the west. Another system (magenta arrow) shows signs of development and may become a tropical depression later today.

 
 


Baja California Tropical Weather Outlook
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PDT TUE MAY 29 2007
 
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
 
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ALVIN...LOCATED ABOUT 765 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. 
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHWARD.  REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT THE SYSTEM
BECOMES A TROPICAL CYCLONE...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD SPREAD OVER
COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
AND ACAPULCO LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.  
 
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME

 


Monday, May 28, 2007

Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PDT MON MAY 28 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ONE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 715 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED WITHIN A BROAD ZONE OF
DISTURBED WEATHER A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN


Santa Rosalia Marina Open

Those of us who have recently stayed in marinas in the Sea of Cortez and Mexico mainland know that the prices of moorage continue to climb while in some cases the services and facilities are in disrepair. This is my second trip to Mexico after eleven years and I was surprised at the changes. As a boater I’ve never having been a fan of Cabo San Lucas, but was appalled that it would have cost over $100 per day for my Island Packet 32. But Cabo certainly is the exception.Almost all the marinas now have reliable electricity, water, and reasonable access to internet. The new standard from my experience is Marina Costa Baja in La Paz. Their services include cable internet and TV to the boat, a cruiser’s lounge with wireless access and wide-screen TV, pump outs at your slip with one day notice, shuttle to and from town, good restaurants surrounding the inner harbor, three pools (infinity, wading, and lap at the nearby Fiesta Inn with a new cruiser’s pool and palapa to be finished this summer), workout facilities, good security, frequent live music, free outdoor movies, and otherwise top of the line facilities. And I’ve never felt like I’m a bother when contacting the marina office … even after calling security when I mistook an employee emptying the basuras at 4AM for an intruder. Their staff and their customer service is top notch.
Click here for the rest of the story...

Baja Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

08AM MST 05/28/07 Tropical Depression 1E (red arrow) has formed some 715 miles SSW of Cabo San Lucas and is moving west. The system is forecast to become our first named storm of the season as it builds to become Tropical Storm Alvin before Tuesday morning. The system is unlikely to affect Baja weather. Our Baja skies should be clear and hot after a marine layer burns off the Pacific coast north of El Rosario. The Pacific High off our map to the west (blue arrow) will keep Baja dry. A thermal Low (yellow arrow) is drawing and tropical moisture over the mainland. Two troughs are moving the through the Caribbean (orange arrows) Winds in the Sea should be under 10kts during the day and to 15kts after sunset from the west.



Friday, May 25, 2007

FW: Tropical Weather Outlook
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PDT FRI MAY 25 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 500
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
THIS MORNING. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

FORECASTER RHOME


Wednesday, May 23, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MST 05/23/07 In Baja Sur SW winds are bringing a pacific marine layer across the peninsula, keeping mornings temps in the low 60°F's. Corumuel Winds continue to blow along the southern Sea of Cortez to 15kts after sunset. There will e some heavy clouds in the northern most sections of Baja California, but about 2/3's of the peninsula will enjoy sunshine. Temperatures will be slightly below seasonal. This good weather is a result of the Pacific High (blue arrow) The Pineapple Express or tropical moisture as it it's called at this time of year (yellow arrow) is being drawn into central Mexico and a thermal Low (magenta arrow) a through (red arrow) extends northward into Texas where a line of severe thunderstorms is moving east. Another trough (orange arrow) is moving NW through the Caribbean.

 
 


Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MST 05/22/07 Corumuel Winds continue to blow along the southern Sea of Cortez to 20kts after sunset from the SW to WSW. It will be clear, sunny and dry over al of the Baja peninsula today as our weather continues to be dominated by the Pacific High (blue arrow) off our map to the west. just traces of the Pineapple Express moisture (yellow arrow) are able to survive in the dry air environment. There is a long string of thunderstorms (magenta arrow) west of our Hurricane basin and unlike to generate tropical cyclone activity. A trough is moving SW in the Caribbean (orange arrow) but will find very dry air on the Pacific side when it arrives later this week. A line of severe weather (red arrow) is pushing east through eastern Texas.

 
 


Monday, May 21, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MST 05/21/07 A Low (orange arrow) moving into So Cal is causing a gale in the So Cal Bight in opposition to the Pacific High (blue arrow) off our map to the west. A tiny puff is all that is left of the Pineapple Express (yellow arrow) leaving all of Baja with bright sunny skies. There is a thermal Low over the mainland (green arrow) Baja Sur can expect strong Corumuel Winds from the WSW in the evening through the week. There is a Low (red arrow) that may cross into the Pacific Basin in the next 36hrs which may provide some of the ingredients for our first Pacific tropical cyclone over the next few days in the ITCZ..

 
 


4.2 Earthquake Near Cabo San Lucas
A 4.2 earthquake gentely shook the Los Cabos area about 9AM Sunday, May 20. The tembler was centered about 109 ENE of San Jose del Cabo and about 150 mese SE of La Paz in the deepest part of the Sea of Cortez. There were no reports of damage and the quake was not even noticed in La Paz.

Friday, May 18, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MST 05/18/07 Just our regular early summer weather throughout Baja today. The north and south of the peninsula wlll be clear while a faint trace of the Pineapple Express (yellow arrow) moves across the central portions. Winds throughout the Sea are expected to be light and variable during the day and 15kts from the WSW in the southern Sea and to 20kts in the northern Sea after sunset. The Pacific High off our map to the west (blue arrow) will keep moisture low and skies clear. There is some moderate thunderstorm activity in the ITCZ (orange arrow) and a Low (magenta arrow) in the Caribbean that may travel across the Isthmus with a trough and present the first possibility for tropical cyclone formation in the Pacific late in the weekend. This early in the season it is improbable that it would present a threat to Baja.

 
 


Wednesday, May 16, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

08AM MST 05/16/07 Standard early summer weather throughout Baja today. A little cloudiness from the Pineapple Express (yellow arrow) will pass over Baja Sur, keeping morning temperatures a little cooler. The Pacific High off our map to the west (blue arrow) is what will dominate our weather for the next several weeks. Sunny skies and seasonal temperatures will grace Baja California. In the Sea winds are expected to be light and variable while after sunset winds are expected to pick up to 15kts from the SW to WSW. There is a trough, not a tropical wave (magenta arrow) moving across the Caribbean and two areas of tropical thunderstorms (orange arrow)

 
 


Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

08AM MST 05/15/07 May 15th marks the start of the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season and we have expanded the coverage area of our map to include the tropical areas. The Pacific High off our map (blue arrow) continues to dominate Baja weather and in conjunction with a very shallow thermal Low (green arrow) over the mainland to provide light winds from the WSW for most of Baja. Sunny skies will also rule from Baja California to Baja Sur. The ITCZ (orange arrow) will creep north over the next several months until creating a credible threat to Baja weather around August 15th. There is significant thunderstorm activity along the ITCZ well west of the hurricane birthing grounds. The 26°C thermo cline (red arrow & line) is significant in cyclonic development. For more on this years Hurricane Outlook click here...

 
 


Sunday, May 13, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

12PM MST 05/13/07 The sun and warm temperatures will be the call of the day for most of Baja. In Baja California some scattered clouds (yellow arrow) will drift overhead but the sun will dominate. In Baja California Sur temperatures may be just below yesterday's near 100°F mark. a thermal Low (green arrow) remains nearly stationary over the center of The Sea. Down south the ITCZ is starting to bubble with thunderstorms as the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season begins Tuesday, May 15.

 
 


Friday, May 11, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

09AM MST 05/11/07 Baja California will enjoy sunny skies today while Baja sur will have light overcast from the Pineapple Express (yellow arrow) still drifting over parts southern parts of the peninsula. Two thermal Lows (green arrows) have developed over Baja, although they are so shall only the counter clockwise rotation classifies them as Lows. The pacific High off our map to the west (blue arrow) will continue to keep the peninsula clear and dry. Temps this weekend may crest the 100°F mark. The Mexican Weather Service is forecasting this to be the hottest summer in Baja in 90 years.

 
 


Tuesday, May 08, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

10AM MST 05/08/07 Most of Baja will enjoy sunny skies and seasonable temperatures today There is a Low (green arrow) in the So Cal bight that may bring some clouds to the northern most portions of Baja California. In the SST animation we can see the first strong northward movement of warmer waters around Baja. The +30°C waters are also growing (magenta arrow) The Pacific High off our map to the west (blue arrow) will continue to dominate Baja weather for the next few weeks. A light overcast or broken clouds will be seen today in the southern most part of Baja Sur (yellow arrow) by drawn east by the thermal low (orange arrow) over mainland Mexico. There is some thunderstorm activity in the ITCZ (magenta arrow) moving west.

 
 


Monday, May 07, 2007

baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

11AM MST 05/07/07 Baja will enjoy sunny skies north to south today. Temperatures should be just below seasonal and windsa re expected to be light from the SW. A Low over the the northern Sea (orange arrow) and another over the California Bight (green arrow) are very shallow and thus not creating strong winds in opposition to the Pacific High (blue arrow) A thermal Lw (yellow arrow) is drawing the tropical moisture south of Baja. And a persistent area of tropical showers (magenta arrow) is slowly moving west along the ITCZ

 
 


Saturday, May 05, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

11AM MST 05/05/07 There are some broken clouds over Baja Sur today as a result of a thin Pineapple Express (yellow arrow) The Pacific High off our map to the west (blue arrow) is interacting with the cold front (orange arrow) that passed through CA yesterday to bring a gale (green arrow)  to the So Cal Bight and projected larger swell along the Baja Pacific coast. Baja California will have clearing skies today as the cold front moves east. A line of severe thunderstorms and possible tornados (red arrow) is moving through Texas. A trough is moving along the ITCZ (magenta arrow) to the west as we are just 10 days away from the beginning of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season.

 
 


Friday, May 04, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

11AM MST 05/04/07 Much of Baja will have overcast or partly cloudy skies today as a result of two separate systems. In Baja California a cold front and Low (green arrow) are dissipating. The Pacific High off our map (blue arrow) continue to dry out systems as they move SE. The Pineapple Express (yellow arrow) is bringing broken clouds to much of Baja Sur. Central Baja from Santa Rosalia to El Rosario will have clear skies after the marine layer burns off. We have a cluster of thunderstorms (magenta arrow) and a trough (orange arrow) moving along the ITCZ.

 
 


Thursday, May 03, 2007

Baja California Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

11AM MST 05/03/07 A cold front (green arrow) is sweeping in to Baja California from the Pacific NW. This will bring cloudy skies and temps in the low 60°F thru Saturday. In Baja Sur the Pineapple Express (yellow arrow) will bring scattered clouds and seasonal temps. The Pacific High (blue arrow) is stationary off the California coast as a Low drives in behind the cold front (green arrow) and may bring northers to the Sea as it slips toward the 4 Corners area over the weekend. Tropical thunderstorm activity can be seem along the ITCZ (magenta arrow) and a trough (orange arrow) is moving west from the Gulf of Panama.

 
 


Wednesday, May 02, 2007

Baja Californa Weather Outlook

   Baja California Weather Forecast

Surface Chart / Satellite IR

11AM MST 05/02/07 Winds will let up through much of Baja during the day today, but strong Corumuel Winds are expected after sunset. This is normal at this time of year because of the temperature difference between the pacific, the land and the Sea of Cortez. The Pacific High (blue arrow) off our map to the west is creeping closer to the California Coast and we may see stronger winds later in the week. A thermal Low (orange arrow) is over mainland Mexico in opposition to the High. Another late season cod front north of our map (green arrow) will sweep through California in the next few days and will bring clouds and cooler temps to Baja California. In Baja Sur temps will continue to warm as the last traces of the Pineapple Express (yellow arrow) are swept SE. A early season trough is moving west along the ITCZ (magenta arrow)

 
 


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