09/08/2008 9:07 AM MDT Tropical Storms Lowell weakened slightly overnight as it move WNW some some 280 miles SSW of Cabo San Lucas. Forecasts call for TS Lowell to turn nearly 90° to the NE on Wednesday and head straight for the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur. TS Lowell is forecast to make landfall in Baja late Thursday or early Friday as a tropical storm and degenerate quickly into a depression.
Topical Storm Lowell is currently located near 19.0N 111.2W and is moving 305° at 08kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 1000Mb and winds are 45kts with gusts to 55kts. Forecasts call for Lowell to remain a tropical storm through landfall in Baja late Thursday.

Sunday, 09/07/2008 10:10 AM MDT Tropical Storm Lowell (red arrow) has strengthend slightly over night and this mornings 5 day forecast has the storm turning to the NE, toward Baja Sur on Wednesday. TS Lowell is now about 410 miles SSE of Cabo San Lucas and is forecast to travel to the NW for the next 3 days. Then, forecasters believe, the storm will turn dramatically to the NE and may deliver rain to Baja Sur by next weekend. TS Lowell will approach Baja from over waters very close to the important 26°C level, it is therefore unlikely that Lowell will reach us with hurricane intensity.
It will be a warm and humid day today throughout Baja, with a strong chance of afternoon thunderstorms along the Sea of Cortez and in the higher elevations of Baja Sur. There is a thermal Low (green arrow) that may draw in additional Pacific clouds to the coastal areas of Baja California. Winds in the Sea are forecast to be light. under 10kts and variable, except in the vicinity of thunderstorms.
In the Gulf of Campeche there is a large area of thunderstorms that is turned to the north and is no longer likely to cause additional disturbance in our basin.

09/02/2008 12:36 PM MDT Tropical Storm Karina has form in the Eastern Pacific about 265 miles SSW of Cabo San Lucas. The storm is forecast to remain weak, due to upper level winds as it slowly wanders west. The storm is not forecast to pose a threat to Baja at this time.
Tropical Storm Karina erupted this morning from an area of disturbed weather that has been moving west from the Mexican mainland. TS Karina is currently located near 19.3N 111.5W and is moving 300° at 8kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 1000Mb and winds are 35-45kts. TS Karina is forecast to remain a tropical storm for the next 18-36 hours, then begin to dissipate as it moves west into the Pacific.

Tropical Storm Karina is not forecast to become a hurricane or affect Baja California Sur weather in any significant manor. However, it is difficult for forecasters to specifically determine the track and intensity of young storms, and we will continue to follow this storm over the next 24hrs.
The next update to the above information will occur after 3PM MDT. Automated images and information below will be updated instantly from the National Hurricane Center in Miami as it is released.