An Almost Normal Year...Forecast Cyclonic Activity in the Eastern Pacific for 2008 (based on data through April 2008)

So, what does the 2008 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season hold for Baja California Sur? Well, if anyone knew that for sure, they would make a lot of money working for insurance companies. Long range forecasts predict that this year will be slightly above normal for the period 1948-2006, but average for the period of 1970-2006. Statistical analysis according to the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional de México, puts this years environmental conditions close to the years 1951, 1955, 1975, 1999 and 2001. An anticipated 15 names storms will form in our basin with 7 being Tropical Storms, 5 Hurricanes (Category 1-2) and 3 major hurricanes (Category 3+). Overall, this forecast calls for 2008 to be a normal hurricane season due to the warming of the La Nina that has occurred in the last few months. It is important to note that the statistics for these forecasts is gathered between January and April, 2008. More...

Labels: baja calfornia sur, eastern, hurricane, mexico, pacific, weather