09AM MDT 06/10 A large area of thunderstorms is forming between Puerto Vallarta and Alcapulco. This is the partly remnants of Caribbean Hur. Stan which combined with a system originating on the Pacific Side This system is currently moving NW and bears watching. Our next tropical wave (blue arrow) may come into play on this system in the next 48hrs.

From the NHC
000ABPZ20 KNHC 061633TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL10 AM PDT

THU OCT 6 2005FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC... EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS VERY CONCENTRATED ALONG THE PACIFICCOAST NEAR MANZANILLO. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KTIN THE VICINITY OF THE DISTURBANCE...THE SYSTEM DOES NOT APPEAR TOHAVE DEVELOPED A WELL DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION.

HOWEVER...THISSYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AT ANY TIME OVER THE NEXT DAYOR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE COAST. LOCALLYHEAVY RAINFALL...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...IS POSSIBLE FROM ACAPULCO NORTHWESTWARD TO PUERTOVALLARTA...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS... DURING THE NEXT DAYOR TWO.ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGHFRIDAY.FORECASTER FRANKLIN